Red Sox @ Astros Game Thread/ 31rst May-3rd June 2021

After rainout Sunday, taking stock of Red Sox heading into crucial 17-day stretch
By Julian McWilliams Globe Staff,Updated May 30, 2021, 8:20 p.m.

Sunday’s Red Sox-Miami Marlins contest at Fenway Park was postponed and rescheduled for Monday, June 7. This means the Red Sox will have to relinquish an off day and instead stare down a schedule that includes 17 straight games in as many days.

If you consider the opponents, this might be the Red Sox’ biggest test of the season. In that 17-day span, the Sox will face the Astros in a four-game series beginning Monday at Houston, then the Yankees for a three-game series at New York. Boston will travel back to play the Marlins at Fenway, followed by the Astros at home for three, four home games vs. the Blue Jays, and finally, a pair against the Braves at Atlanta.



The Sox (32-20) currently stand a game back of the red-hot Tampa Bay Rays in the American League East. They have taken on the underdog approach this year, oftentimes noting that no one believed in them but themselves. However true that might be — which in some cases is a bit exaggerated — the team has, indeed, thrived so far this season. Despite the daunting schedule ahead, the Sox are in a good position heading into it. Here’s how they got here.

Nick Pivetta wasn’t getting much of a chance to start with the Phillies last season. Garrett Richards has always been known for his stuff but never quite recaptured it post-Tommy John surgery. So, when Pivetta was traded to the Red Sox last summer, and Richards signed as a free agent this offseason, each was expected to be a huge part of what the Red Sox did.

So far, they have lived up to that. In 54 innings, Richards has a 3.83 ERA. Even though Richards has power stuff, he’s never been a huge strikeout guy. He’s compiled just 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings for his career and 7.8 this season. Nonetheless, Richards is figuring out ways to be successful for the Red Sox, thanks to a delivery that he’s able to repeat.



“We came up with something that would be simple for me to be able to repeat,” Richards said earlier this season. “And importantly, it gives me a chance to gather over the rubber, instead of just kind of rolling through it like I was. So just making an emphasis of getting a good gather over the rubber has really helped me.”

Keep in mind Richards’s curveball ranked at the top of the league in spin. Richards has had success with that pitch whenever he employs it, with batters hitting just .143 against it this year.

As for Pivetta, he’s found his way by pounding the strike zone and learned how to pitch up in the zone, which has played a part in his 3.86 ERA in 53⅔ innings plus 59 strikeouts. Pivetta is 6-0 this season and has gone 8-0 in his last 12 starts dating back to last season.

He’s also successful at making adjustments when hitters are on to him. For example, in his last start, the Braves were aggressive on his fastball, tagging him for two runs in the first. But after that Pivetta implemented more of his offspeed/breaking stuff in order to keep the Braves off balance.

Martín Pérez has been a key piece of the Red Sox rotation, too — if not the most important piece. He’s compiled a 3.55 ERA in 50⅔ innings in addition to 48 strikeouts.


The Red Sox still need more from Eduardo Rodriguez (5.06 ERA). Nate Eovaldi’s 4.01 ERA is consistent with what he’s been for his career. A key for Eovaldi is that he’s been healthy. As Rodriguez looks to get on track, however, the trio of Pivetta, Richards, and Pérez have been crucial to this team’s success.


The Red Sox are hoping to get Ryan Brasier back soon, and that should give them more depth at the back end of the bullpen. Matt Barnes has been lights out in the closer’s spot, striking out 15.4 batters per nine innings, registering a league-leading 12 saves to go along with a 2.63 ERA. Barnes has gotten some help from Adam Ottavino, as well as Josh Taylor as of late. Taylor has nine straight appearances under his belt (9 innings) without allowing a run. Ottavino, meanwhile, has given up just one run in his last 11⅓ innings. He has a 2.95 ERA on the year.
Offense

The Sox remain one of the best offenses in baseball. Entering Sunday, they had a .768 OPS to lead the league. J.D. Martinez (second), Rafael Devers (fourth), and Xander Bogaerts (fifth) were all in the top five in the AL in OPS, all above .950. The Yankees’ Aaron Judge and Blue Jays’ Vladimir Guerrero Jr. were the others in the top five. Devers led the majors in extra-base hits with 31 and was tied with Nolan Arenado of the Cardinals for the lead in doubles (17)



Martinez led the AL in hits (62) and multi-hit games (20).

“That’s why we signed him in ’18,” Cora said Sunday of Martinez. “To be that guy in the middle of the lineup to help everybody else. Drive in runs, get on base and right now he’s driving in runs and he’s scoring a lot of runs. He’s been amazing since Day 1.”

While those three players, plus Alex Verdugo, have carried the offense for much of the season, the Red Sox have gotten some production from Hunter Renfroe. After hitting .167 with a .485 OPS in April, Renfroe has hit .307 with an .879 OPS in May, including 12 extra-base hits and 14 RBIs in 23 games.

“He’s doing a good job putting the ball and play going the other way, hitting with two strikes, staying on breaking balls.” Cora said. “He did that in spring training. Obviously wasn’t a good start for him. But he’s a good player.”


Verdugo is still nursing a hamstring injury. During this 17-game stretch in 17 days, it will be interesting to see how he responds to it and how the team uses him.

Christian Arroyo gives the team a boost in the infield, but in his last 39 plate appearances, he’s hit just .147

Kiké Hernández, while a solid outfielder, is probably not a leadoff hitter for this club. His on-base percentage dropped below .300 again (.299) and he’s hitting just .245 for the season.

Red Sox vs. Astros Series Preview

A look at this week’s big four-game stretch against Houston.
By Matt_Collins@MattRyCollins May 31, 2021, 9:01am EDT



SB Nation Blog

Crawfish Boxes
The opponent in one sentence

The Astros are baseball’s most hated team right now, but they’re also a good one, keeping their heads above .500 to go with one of the best run differentials in the American League.
Record

28-24
Head-to-head record

0-0
Trend

Down. The good news for the Red Sox is that, while they are starting a brutal stretch of their schedule here on Monday, they are at least catching the Astros at a good time. Houston is in the midst of their own tough stretch, having just drop two of three against the Padres, which came before a split of a two-game set against the Dodgers. But before that, they were swept by the Rangers, making them losers in six of their last eight.
Pitching Matchups

5/31: Eduardo Rodriguez vs. José Urquidy, 4:10 PM ET (ESPN for out-of-market)

Things looked set up well for Rodriguez to bounce back after what has been a tough three-week stretch for the lefty, as he was supposed to make his next start against a pedestrian Marlins lineup. Instead, rain pushed that game off and Rodriguez has to look to get back on track against a very good lineup on the road in Houston. This is certainly not going to be a walk in the park for Rodriguez, who has put up good peripherals of late but has been giving up too much contact that has turned into hits. Some of that is bad luck, but some of that is certainly him leaving too many balls over the plate that can be hit solidly. He’ll need to figure something out here, because this is a lineup that will punish you if you make mistakes.

Urquidy is coming off a brief IL stint, having missed the last couple of weeks. By all accounts, however, he is ready to come back for this series-opener on Monday. The Red Sox are going to have their chances against the young righty, but that doesn’t mean it will be easy. Despite a high fly ball rate that leads to balls leaving the yard and a strikeout rate that won’t impress anyone in this era, he’s pitched to an impressive 3.22 ERA this year, and has been good throughout his short MLB career. He has tremendous command, so the Red Sox need to look for a few mistakes and not miss their chances, because they may not get another. Urquidy will throw a low-90s fastball to go with a slider, a changeup, and the occasional curveball.


6/1: Garrett Richards vs. Luis Garcia, 8:10 PM ET

Richards has been one of the most important players for the Red Sox over the month of May, and now he’ll look to start June off on the right foot as well in this tough matchup. The righty turned things around in a big way after a brutal start to his career in Boston, though it’s worth noting there are some cracks starting to show once again. Things are certainly better than they were in early April, but after getting his control in check for a few starts he’s issuing walks again. He’s walked four in each of his last two starts and three the one before to give him 11 total over 18 1⁄3 innings. He’s still got a 2.45 ERA over that stretch, but he might not have as much luck against the Astros if he’s putting on so many batters for free.

The Red Sox are facing another good, young starter here in the second game, although this one will be a bit different. Whereas Urqidy has his success based on control and command, Garcia is more pure stuff. He’s getting a ton of strikeouts this year, nearly 11 per nine innings, which is helping to mask some mild control issues here and there en route to a really good 2.93 ERA. Now, it should be mentioned he did spend a little time in the bullpen this year, but as a starter he still has a 3.15 ERA, so this will be a tough matchup. To make things even tougher, he’s coming off his best start of the year, allowing just a single unearned run to the Dodgers over six innings on two hits and one walk with seven strikeouts. Garcia will throw a low-to-mid-90s fastball, a cutter, a slider, a changeup, and the occasional curveball.

6/2: Nick Pivetta vs. Framber Valdez, 8:10 PM ET (ESPN)

Things have been trending in the wrong direction for Pivetta his last couple of times out, as he’s started to revert a bit back to the guy we saw for all of those years in Philly. We’re not seeing the absolute worst version of that, to be fair, which was a guy who couldn’t even stick in the majors. But we are seeing a guy who, while missing a lot of bats, will give up hard contact as well. Over the righty’s last two outings, he’s struck out 18 with four walks over 11 innings, but he’s also allowed nine runs (eight earned). He needs to find a way to keep getting the strikeouts while not putting so much over the heart of the plate where it can be hit around. This will be the ultimate test for that skillset.

Valdez had spent most of this season on the injured list after fracturing his finger back in camp, but he made his season debut last weekend against the Padres. They didn’t push him too far, sending him out for only four innings, but he did a solid job in allowing just one run with four strikeouts and two walks. It will be interesting to see how much leash he gets here against the Red Sox. Last season was a good one for the southpaw, as he pitched to a 3.57 ERA with strong peripherals to match along with a high groundball rate. Valdez will lean heavily on a low-90s sinker along with a curveball and the occasional changeup.

6/3: Martín Pérez vs. Jake Odorizzi, 2:10 PM ET

There really isn’t much to be said about what Pérez is doing this year except that it’s incredibly impressive and way outside my expectations. The lefty has allowed more than three runs just once this season, and that was back in his third start of the year. Since that point he’s made eight starts while pitching to a 3.32 ERA. Most impressive has been his strikeout total, as he’s missing more bats than we’re accustomed to, which is helping him avoid some of the bad luck on balls in play he’s run into in the past. No contact is still better than weak contact. All that said, he hasn’t really faced a ton of good lineups in this stretch, so this will be the real test of who he can be in this rotation.

Odorizzi was one of the bigger free agent starting pitchers out there this year, and while there was reportedly some interest from the Red Sox he ultimately landed with Houston. He’s missed a big chunk of the season with injury, though, having just returned to make one start after sitting out for about a month. It was a solid return against the Padres, though, with Odorizzi allowing one run over 5 1⁄3 innings on three hits and one walk with four strikeouts. The righty will miss some bats and he has solid control, but he can get in trouble with the long ball. Boston needs to make sure any mistakes thrown are not wasted by the offense. Odorizzi will feature a low-90s fastball to go with a splitter, a slider, a cutter, and the occasional curveball.

Old Friends

Ryan Pressly was originally drafted by the Red Sox way back in 2007, but he never made it with the team as he was scooped up by the Twins in the Rule 5 Draft. Since then he’s established himself as one of the better relievers in the game and is in the lead spot in Houston’s bullpen these days.
Notable Position Players

Alex Bregman is still the best player on this team and remains one of the best players in the entire league. The third baseman is having another good season here with a 141 wRC+, and he’s doing it while his power hasn’t even really been here. He can hurt you in a number of ways, and will be a tough out every time he steps to the plate.

José Altuve is getting to the latter portion of his career, but you wouldn’t know it by watching him. He still makes a ton of contact with a little pop here and there, getting on base at a high clip atop this Houston lineup.

Yordan Alvarez can be easy to forget in this lineup full of big names, but he has big-time power and is a threat to do real damage every time. His plate discipline can be rough, though, so there is a gameplan against him.

Carlos Correa is a bit like Xander Bogaerts in that they are both big shortstops who are bat-over-glove. I’ll take Bogaerts in terms of who the better player is, but Correa is still a terrific hitter having a very good season.

Yuli Gurriel is also having a big season in this terrifying lineup, walking more than he strikes out while also hitting for legitimate power.

Kyle Tucker is one of the up-and-comers in this lineup, and he’s another guy who is tough to strike out while possessing legitimate power of his own.

Aledmys Díaz is where the break in the lineup begins, although he’s certainly not bad and makes enough contact to keep his line around average.

Myles Straw will also put the ball into play, but his total lack of power is bringing his line down so far.

Martín Maldonado is more of a defensive-oriented catcher, which shows in his numbers at the plate.
T-Shirt Collection

Take a look at the entire shirt collection from our friends over at BreakingT, including the latest one pictured above.
Bullpen Snapshot

Pressly, as I said, leads this bullpen. He’s been his normal steady self in the late innings, getting a solid number of strikeouts while showing off plus command that makes him very tough to beat when the game is on the line.

Ryne Stanek has been the primary righty setup guy of late, and he will miss a ton of bats, though there are going to be some mistakes both in and out of the zone to give Boston hitters a chance.

Brooks Raley is the lefty setup guy, and while his 7.29 ERA looks brutal, his 2.88 FIP suggests things may not be so easy if he’s in the game.
Injuries

Michael Brantley has been out for about a week with some hamstring issues, and while it doesn’t appear serious he should miss this whole series.

Lance McCullers Jr. started dealing with some shoulder issues last week, though it’s not clear how long it will keep him out.

Justin Verlander underwent Tommy John late last season, and there’s some chance he’ll be able to come back for the very end of this season, though it’s far from set in stone.

Jason Castro was just placed on the injured list with an ankle injury, though it doesn’t appear serious.

Pedro Báez has had some trouble getting his season going due to a positive COVID test followed by a shoulder issue, and he’s likely a couple weeks away from returning.

Bryan Abreu was just put on the shelf with a leg injury suffered while he was shagging balls. It’s not clear how long he’ll be out.

Josh James is on the 60-day injured list with a hip injury, though it doesn’t appear he’s too far from being back on the mound.

Austin Pruitt missed all of last season after undergoing elbow surgery, and it’s still not clear when he’ll be able to pitch again.

Ken Emanuel was just placed on the IL with an elbow injury this past weekend. It’s not clear how much time he’ll miss.

Blake Taylor is working his way back from an ankle injury, and his return should be imminent.

Francis Martes was suspended for 162 games after a second positive PED test last year.
Weather Forecast

The bad news is there are going to be thunderstorms in the Houston area all week. The good news is they have a roof, so it shouldn’t affect any of the games.

Tough, tough series. I'll be real happy to go home 2-2.

Game 55: Red Sox at Astros lineups and notes
From staff and wire reportsUpdated May 31, 2021, 14 minutes ago


The Red Sox were rained out Sunday, then traveled to Houston for Monday’s start of a seven-game road trip that includes a weekend series at Yankee Stadium.

Boston lefthander Eduardo Rodriguez has lost his last three starts, and had his shortest outing of the season in his last start, a loss to the Phillies May 23 in which he pitched only four innings. He’ll be opposed Monday by Astros righty José Urquidy, who is making his first start since May 12.
Lineups

RED SOX (32-20):


1. Enrique Hernandez (R) CF
2. Alex Verdugo (L) LF
3. J.D. Martinez (R) DH
4. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
5. Rafael Devers (L) 3B
6. Danny Santana (S) 1B
7. Christian Vazquez (R) C
8. Marwin Gonzalez (S) 2B
9. Hunter Renfroe (R) RF


Pitching: LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (5-3, 5.06 ERA)

ASTROS (28-24):


1. Jose Altuve (R) 2B
2. Chas McCormick (R) LF
3. Alex Bregman (R) 3B
4. Carlos Correa (R) SS
5. Kyle Tucker (L) RF
6. Aledmys Diaz (R) 1B
7. Taylor Jones (R) DH
8. Myles Straw (R) CF
9. Martin Maldonado (R) C


Pitching: RHP José Urquidy (3-2, 3.22 ERA)


Time: 4:10 p.m.

TV, radio: ESPN, NESN, WEEI-FM 93.7

Red Sox vs. Urquidy: Danny Santana 0-3

Astros vs. Rodriguez: Jose Altuve 2-7, Alex Bregman 3-7, Carlos Correa 5-7, Aledmys Díaz 2-10, Yuli Gurriel 1-6, Martín Maldonado 1-5

Stats of the day: The Astros lead the majors in hits (476) and batting average (.264). The Red Sox lead the majors in slugging percentage (.447) and on-base plus slugging (.768).

Notes: Following consecutive extra-inning losses in which the bullpen blew late leads, the Astros got eight innings from starter Zack Greinke Sunday to help them to a 7-4 victory over the Padres and avoid a three-game sweep ... Urquidy was placed on the 10-day injured list with right posterior shoulder discomfort May 14. Prior to his IL stint, Urquidy had recorded four consecutive starts allowing two or fewer runs, posting a 3-0 record and 1.52 ERA with a .176 opponent batting average during that stretch. He will face Boston for the first time in his career ... Rodriguez is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA over four career starts against the Astros ... The Red Sox are riding a three-game winning streak.

Song of the Day: The Breeders "Cannon Ball"

www.youtube.com/watch?v=fxvkI9MTQw4